TREND: IMPROVING / ONGOING / DETERIORATING
OBSERVATION: The big day is here, when we shift from baseless snow to actual cover. I'd still be choosing some fat old planks that you don't love (read: scratches) for this weekend. There's still plenty of bushes protruding. The snowpack is light and dry up high with a density gradient that is supportive and should be fun. Lower down its patchier and is a bit grippy / gloopy. It's not set to warm in any huge hurry so its fairly stable for storm deposition. Even in the drifted areas, where the new snow is sitting on a grippy surface it won't be sliding, on the greasy grass, deep in the drainages it could be a different story.
OUTLOOK: Looking forward there is surprisingly a mention of hail from the BOM crowd. There is a blip on the dew point model and if this occurs then we will be looking at a groupel layer, burried, in our base predominantly on leeward aspects (South and East). We will keep you updated on this for fear of a persistent weak layer. Weather wise it's full storm conditions, not completely horrible because its cold enough but dangerous, and let's not play that down. Stay close to shelter team.
Always a big thanks to everyone who is helping make this possible through our membership kickstart and through our merchandise drive. Simon@MSC
The schedule for stability assessment reports will be Mondays. Locations are on or above tree-line and generally South East aspect, although this is conditions dependent.